BC PROVINCIAL 2026 · PUBLIC OPINION POLLS

Who is ahead
in British Columbia?The published polls, on one page.

12 polls by 6 firms: every published poll we found with interviews since September 1, 2026. Every poll figure is shown as the firm published it, with its dates, its sample size and a link to the report.

The count that decides the election is the vote on October 24, 2026.

Latest published poll

Conservative leads NDP by 6 points.

Liaison Strategies · Oct 7 to Oct 8, 2026 · 1,000 British Columbians · margin of error ±3.1 points

Conservative Party of BC43%
BC NDP37%
BC Green Party10%
OneBC4%

Share of decided and leaning voters, as published. Changes compare with the same firm’s earlier poll. A poll measures opinion only on the days it was taken.

01 / Over time

How the race has moved.

Each dot is one poll, placed on the last day of its interviews.

Liaison Strategies, Oct 7 to Oct 8, 2026: BC NDP37%
Liaison Strategies, Oct 7 to Oct 8, 2026: Conservative Party of BC43%
Liaison Strategies, Oct 7 to Oct 8, 2026: BC Green Party10%
Liaison Strategies, Oct 7 to Oct 8, 2026: OneBC4%
Liaison Strategies, Oct 7 to Oct 8, 2026: Centre BC3%
Liaison Strategies, Oct 7 to Oct 8, 2026: Other4%
Angus Reid Institute, Oct 1 to Oct 3, 2026: BC NDP43%
Angus Reid Institute, Oct 1 to Oct 3, 2026: Conservative Party of BC48%
Angus Reid Institute, Oct 1 to Oct 3, 2026: BC Green Party7%
Angus Reid Institute, Oct 1 to Oct 3, 2026: Other2%
Mainstreet Research, Sep 30 to Oct 1, 2026: BC NDP37.2%
Mainstreet Research, Sep 30 to Oct 1, 2026: Conservative Party of BC44.7%
Mainstreet Research, Sep 30 to Oct 1, 2026: BC Green Party11.2%
Mainstreet Research, Sep 30 to Oct 1, 2026: OneBC5.7%
Mainstreet Research, Sep 30 to Oct 1, 2026: Centre BC1.1%
Ipsos, Sep 25 to Sep 29, 2026: BC NDP40%
Ipsos, Sep 25 to Sep 29, 2026: Conservative Party of BC42%
Ipsos, Sep 25 to Sep 29, 2026: BC Green Party10%
Ipsos, Sep 25 to Sep 29, 2026: OneBC3%
Ipsos, Sep 25 to Sep 29, 2026: Centre BC3%
Ipsos, Sep 25 to Sep 29, 2026: Other2%
Léger, Sep 24 to Sep 28, 2026: BC NDP36%
Léger, Sep 24 to Sep 28, 2026: Conservative Party of BC39%
Léger, Sep 24 to Sep 28, 2026: BC Green Party13%
Léger, Sep 24 to Sep 28, 2026: OneBC5%
Léger, Sep 24 to Sep 28, 2026: Centre BC5%
Léger, Sep 24 to Sep 28, 2026: Other2%
Innovative Research Group, Sep 25 to Sep 28, 2026: BC NDP41%
Innovative Research Group, Sep 25 to Sep 28, 2026: Conservative Party of BC39%
Innovative Research Group, Sep 25 to Sep 28, 2026: BC Green Party11%
Innovative Research Group, Sep 25 to Sep 28, 2026: OneBC4%
Innovative Research Group, Sep 25 to Sep 28, 2026: Centre BC3%
Innovative Research Group, Sep 25 to Sep 28, 2026: Other3%
Liaison Strategies, Sep 26 to Sep 27, 2026: BC NDP39%
Liaison Strategies, Sep 26 to Sep 27, 2026: Conservative Party of BC40%
Liaison Strategies, Sep 26 to Sep 27, 2026: BC Green Party11%
Liaison Strategies, Sep 26 to Sep 27, 2026: OneBC3%
Liaison Strategies, Sep 26 to Sep 27, 2026: Centre BC4%
Liaison Strategies, Sep 26 to Sep 27, 2026: Other3%
Angus Reid Institute, Sep 22 to Sep 24, 2026: BC NDP35%
Angus Reid Institute, Sep 22 to Sep 24, 2026: Conservative Party of BC43%
Angus Reid Institute, Sep 22 to Sep 24, 2026: BC Green Party12%
Angus Reid Institute, Sep 22 to Sep 24, 2026: OneBC4%
Angus Reid Institute, Sep 22 to Sep 24, 2026: Centre BC3%
Angus Reid Institute, Sep 22 to Sep 24, 2026: Other3%
Liaison Strategies, Sep 21 to Sep 22, 2026: BC NDP41%
Liaison Strategies, Sep 21 to Sep 22, 2026: Conservative Party of BC36%
Liaison Strategies, Sep 21 to Sep 22, 2026: BC Green Party12%
Liaison Strategies, Sep 21 to Sep 22, 2026: OneBC4%
Liaison Strategies, Sep 21 to Sep 22, 2026: Centre BC4%
Liaison Strategies, Sep 21 to Sep 22, 2026: Other3%
Innovative Research Group, Sep 4 to Sep 18, 2026: BC NDP43%
Innovative Research Group, Sep 4 to Sep 18, 2026: Conservative Party of BC39%
Innovative Research Group, Sep 4 to Sep 18, 2026: BC Green Party14%
Innovative Research Group, Sep 4 to Sep 18, 2026: Other4%
Angus Reid Institute, Sep 8 to Sep 15, 2026: BC NDP41%
Angus Reid Institute, Sep 8 to Sep 15, 2026: Conservative Party of BC37%
Angus Reid Institute, Sep 8 to Sep 15, 2026: BC Green Party13%
Angus Reid Institute, Sep 8 to Sep 15, 2026: Other9%
Ipsos, Sep 8 to Sep 14, 2026: BC NDP45%
Ipsos, Sep 8 to Sep 14, 2026: Conservative Party of BC35%
Ipsos, Sep 8 to Sep 14, 2026: BC Green Party10%
Ipsos, Sep 8 to Sep 14, 2026: OneBC2%
Ipsos, Sep 8 to Sep 14, 2026: Centre BC4%
Ipsos, Sep 8 to Sep 14, 2026: Other4%

02 / Seat estimate

What the polls would mean in seats.

voche.me’s own estimate, from the newest poll of each of 6 firms and the 2024 result in every district. 47 of 93 seats make a majority.

Conservative Party of BC53 seats
BC NDP38 seats
BC Green Party2 seats

47 seats: majority

The same rule, run on each poll alone
Poll	Conservative	NDP	Green
Liaison StrategiesOct 7 to Oct 8, 2026	55	36	2
Angus Reid InstituteOct 1 to Oct 3, 2026	56	36	1
Mainstreet ResearchSep 30 to Oct 1, 2026	58	33	2
IpsosSep 25 to Sep 29, 2026	52	39	2
LégerSep 24 to Sep 28, 2026	53	38	2
Innovative Research GroupSep 25 to Sep 28, 2026	41	50	2
Average of the 6	53	38	2

03 / District by district

Where the polls agree and where they split.

In 75 districts every one of the 6 polls gives the lead to the same party. In 18 they give it to different parties. The closest estimates come first.

District	2024 result	Estimate from the poll average	Polls that agree
Ladysmith-Oceanside	NDPby 6 points (2,047 votes)	NDPahead by 0.8 points	3 of 6Polls disagree
Vancouver-Yaletown	NDPby 6.4 points (1,161 votes)	NDPahead by 1.2 points	3 of 6Polls disagree
Surrey-Fleetwood	NDPby 3.7 points (753 votes)	Conservativeahead by 1.5 pointsChange from 2024	4 of 6Polls disagree
Cowichan Valley	NDPby 2.9 points (849 votes)	Conservativeahead by 2.3 pointsChange from 2024	5 of 6Polls disagree
Burnaby South-Metrotown	NDPby 7.7 points (1,187 votes)	NDPahead by 2.6 points	5 of 6Polls disagree
Kootenay Central	NDPby 8 points (1,749 votes)	NDPahead by 2.8 points	5 of 6Polls disagree
Vancouver-Langara	NDPby 2.4 points (419 votes)	Conservativeahead by 2.8 pointsChange from 2024	5 of 6Polls disagree
Surrey-Newton	NDPby 8.2 points (1,266 votes)	NDPahead by 3 points	5 of 6Polls disagree
Richmond-Steveston	NDPby 2.1 points (484 votes)	Conservativeahead by 3.1 pointsChange from 2024	5 of 6Polls disagree
Coquitlam-Burke Mountain	NDPby 1.7 points (368 votes)	Conservativeahead by 3.5 pointsChange from 2024	5 of 6Polls disagree
Vernon-Lumby	NDPby 1.7 points (476 votes)	Conservativeahead by 3.5 pointsChange from 2024	5 of 6Polls disagree
Surrey City Centre	NDPby 1.6 points (232 votes)	Conservativeahead by 3.6 pointsChange from 2024	5 of 6Polls disagree
Mid Island-Pacific Rim	NDPby 9.3 points (2,676 votes)	NDPahead by 4.1 points	6 of 6
Juan de Fuca-Malahat	NDPby 0.6 points (141 votes)	Conservativeahead by 4.6 pointsChange from 2024	5 of 6Polls disagree
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows	NDPby 9.8 points (2,579 votes)	NDPahead by 4.6 points	6 of 6
Burnaby North	NDPby 10.3 points (2,066 votes)	NDPahead by 5.1 points	6 of 6
Surrey-Guildford	NDPby 0.1 points (22 votes)	Conservativeahead by 5.1 pointsChange from 2024	5 of 6Polls disagree
Kelowna Centre	Conservativeby 0.2 points (40 votes)	Conservativeahead by 5.3 points	5 of 6Polls disagree
West Vancouver-Sea to Sky	Greenby 2.5 points (676 votes)	Greenahead by 5.3 points	5 of 6Polls disagree
Courtenay-Comox	Conservativeby 0.3 points (93 votes)	Conservativeahead by 5.5 points	5 of 6Polls disagree
Maple Ridge East	Conservativeby 0.4 points (97 votes)	Conservativeahead by 5.6 points	5 of 6Polls disagree
Victoria-Beacon Hill	NDPby 13.9 points (3,990 votes)	NDPahead by 5.8 points	6 of 6
Burnaby East	NDPby 11.3 points (2,292 votes)	NDPahead by 6.1 points	6 of 6
Penticton-Summerland	Conservativeby 1.1 points (317 votes)	Conservativeahead by 6.3 points	6 of 6
Port Moody-Burquitlam	NDPby 11.6 points (2,995 votes)	NDPahead by 6.4 points	6 of 6
Surrey-Panorama	Conservativeby 1.5 points (263 votes)	Conservativeahead by 6.7 points	6 of 6
Coquitlam-Maillardville	NDPby 12.2 points (2,826 votes)	NDPahead by 7 points	6 of 6
Nanaimo-Lantzville	NDPby 12.2 points (3,620 votes)	NDPahead by 7.1 points	6 of 6
Delta North	NDPby 12.5 points (2,607 votes)	NDPahead by 7.3 points	6 of 6
North Island	Conservativeby 2.1 points (639 votes)	Conservativeahead by 7.3 points	6 of 6
Surrey-Serpentine River	Conservativeby 2.2 points (435 votes)	Conservativeahead by 7.4 points	6 of 6
Surrey-Cloverdale	Conservativeby 2.8 points (586 votes)	Conservativeahead by 7.9 points	6 of 6
Kootenay-Monashee	NDPby 13.2 points (2,586 votes)	NDPahead by 8 points	6 of 6
Powell River-Sunshine Coast	NDPby 13.9 points (4,065 votes)	NDPahead by 8.7 points	6 of 6
Columbia River-Revelstoke	Conservativeby 3.7 points (670 votes)	Conservativeahead by 8.8 points	6 of 6
Langley-Willowbrook	Conservativeby 3.8 points (867 votes)	Conservativeahead by 9 points	6 of 6
Saanich North and the Islands	Greenby 4 points (1,350 votes)	Greenahead by 9.2 points	6 of 6
Langford-Highlands	NDPby 14.5 points (3,193 votes)	NDPahead by 9.3 points	6 of 6
Burnaby Centre	NDPby 14.6 points (2,486 votes)	NDPahead by 9.4 points	6 of 6
Port Coquitlam	NDPby 15.1 points (3,876 votes)	NDPahead by 9.9 points	6 of 6
Langley-Walnut Grove	Conservativeby 4.8 points (1,172 votes)	Conservativeahead by 10 points	6 of 6
Boundary-Similkameen	Conservativeby 5.8 points (1,438 votes)	Conservativeahead by 11 points	6 of 6
North Vancouver-Seymour	NDPby 17 points (5,215 votes)	NDPahead by 11.8 points	6 of 6
Skeena	Conservativeby 6.8 points (824 votes)	Conservativeahead by 11.9 points	6 of 6
Richmond-Queensborough	Conservativeby 6.8 points (1,339 votes)	Conservativeahead by 12 points	6 of 6
Saanich South	NDPby 17.3 points (5,335 votes)	NDPahead by 12.1 points	6 of 6
Surrey-White Rock	Conservativeby 7 points (1,969 votes)	Conservativeahead by 12.2 points	6 of 6
Surrey North	Conservativeby 7.4 points (1,159 votes)	Conservativeahead by 12.6 points	6 of 6
Nanaimo-Gabriola Island	NDPby 18.1 points (5,030 votes)	NDPahead by 12.9 points	6 of 6
Kamloops Centre	Conservativeby 7.9 points (2,003 votes)	Conservativeahead by 13.1 points	6 of 6
Chilliwack-Cultus Lake	Conservativeby 9.2 points (2,290 votes)	Conservativeahead by 14.3 points	6 of 6
Oak Bay-Gordon Head	NDPby 20.2 points (5,977 votes)	NDPahead by 15 points	6 of 6
Delta South	Conservativeby 10.1 points (2,669 votes)	Conservativeahead by 15.3 points	6 of 6
Vancouver-Fraserview	NDPby 20.6 points (4,278 votes)	NDPahead by 15.4 points	6 of 6
Abbotsford-Mission	Conservativeby 10.8 points (2,629 votes)	Conservativeahead by 16 points	6 of 6
Esquimalt-Colwood	NDPby 22.2 points (6,586 votes)	NDPahead by 17.1 points	6 of 6
Vancouver-Point Grey	NDPby 22.3 points (4,916 votes)	NDPahead by 17.1 points	6 of 6
Vancouver-QuilchenaDallas Brodie, the sitting member, is on the list for OneBC.	Conservativeby 12.7 points (2,815 votes)	Conservativeahead by 17.9 points	6 of 6
Bulkley Valley-Stikine	Conservativeby 13.4 points (1,283 votes)	Conservativeahead by 18.6 points	6 of 6
Burnaby-New Westminster	NDPby 25.3 points (4,486 votes)	NDPahead by 20.1 points	6 of 6
Richmond Centre	Conservativeby 15.2 points (2,465 votes)	Conservativeahead by 20.4 points	6 of 6
Chilliwack North	Conservativeby 16.9 points (3,651 votes)	Conservativeahead by 22.1 points	6 of 6
Surrey South	Conservativeby 17.7 points (3,920 votes)	Conservativeahead by 22.9 points	6 of 6
Fraser-Nicola	Conservativeby 17.9 points (3,409 votes)	Conservativeahead by 23.1 points	6 of 6
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream	Conservativeby 18.7 points (4,953 votes)	Conservativeahead by 23.9 points	6 of 6
Kelowna-Mission	Conservativeby 18.9 points (5,158 votes)	Conservativeahead by 24.1 points	6 of 6
New Westminster-Coquitlam	NDPby 29.3 points (6,319 votes)	NDPahead by 24.1 points	6 of 6
Vancouver-Kensington	NDPby 29.4 points (5,652 votes)	NDPahead by 24.2 points	6 of 6
North Coast-Haida Gwaii	NDPby 29.8 points (2,235 votes)	NDPahead by 24.6 points	6 of 6
North Vancouver-Lonsdale	NDPby 29.8 points (7,686 votes)	NDPahead by 24.6 points	6 of 6
West Vancouver-Capilano	Conservativeby 19.5 points (5,043 votes)	Conservativeahead by 24.7 points	6 of 6
Victoria-Swan Lake	NDPby 32.9 points (8,374 votes)	NDPahead by 24.8 points	6 of 6
Prince George-Valemount	Conservativeby 20.3 points (3,309 votes)	Conservativeahead by 25.4 points	6 of 6
Kootenay-Rockies	Conservativeby 12.3 points (2,373 votes)	Conservativeahead by 26.1 points	6 of 6
Vancouver-Little Mountain	NDPby 31.5 points (7,932 votes)	NDPahead by 26.3 points	6 of 6
Abbotsford West	Conservativeby 21.5 points (4,228 votes)	Conservativeahead by 26.7 points	6 of 6
Salmon Arm-Shuswap	Conservativeby 21.7 points (6,889 votes)	Conservativeahead by 26.9 points	6 of 6
Langley-Abbotsford	Conservativeby 21.9 points (5,650 votes)	Conservativeahead by 27.1 points	6 of 6
Vancouver-Renfrew	NDPby 32.6 points (5,656 votes)	NDPahead by 27.4 points	6 of 6
West Kelowna-Peachland	Conservativeby 22.9 points (6,081 votes)	Conservativeahead by 28.1 points	6 of 6
Richmond-Bridgeport	Conservativeby 23.4 points (3,987 votes)	Conservativeahead by 28.6 points	6 of 6
Vancouver-West End	NDPby 35.8 points (7,466 votes)	NDPahead by 30.6 points	6 of 6
Abbotsford South	Conservativeby 26.4 points (5,599 votes)	Conservativeahead by 31.6 points	6 of 6
Kamloops-North Thompson	Conservativeby 26.8 points (8,056 votes)	Conservativeahead by 32 points	6 of 6
Vancouver-South Granville	NDPby 39.4 points (10,530 votes)	NDPahead by 34.2 points	6 of 6
Vancouver-Hastings	NDPby 39.9 points (8,846 votes)	NDPahead by 34.7 points	6 of 6
Prince George-Mackenzie	Conservativeby 32.7 points (6,065 votes)	Conservativeahead by 37.9 points	6 of 6
Cariboo-Chilcotin	Conservativeby 39.2 points (7,722 votes)	Conservativeahead by 44.4 points	6 of 6
Prince George-North Cariboo	Conservativeby 35 points (7,036 votes)	Conservativeahead by 45 points	6 of 6
Nechako Lakes	Conservativeby 40.2 points (4,684 votes)	Conservativeahead by 45.4 points	6 of 6
Vancouver-Strathcona	NDPby 51.1 points (10,243 votes)	NDPahead by 45.9 points	6 of 6
Peace River South	Conservativeby 45.3 points (4,657 votes)	Conservativeahead by 69.2 points	6 of 6
Peace River NorthJordan Kealy, the sitting member, is on the list with no party.	Conservativeby 54.2 points (8,175 votes)	Conservativethe only party in the estimate with a candidate here	6 of 6

Contains information licenced under the Elections BC Open Data Licence. Licence

04 / Method

How the estimate is made.

The polls used

The newest poll from each firm whose interviews ended in the 14 days up to October 8, 2026: Liaison Strategies, Angus Reid Institute, Mainstreet Research, Ipsos, Léger and Innovative Research Group. Each firm counts once. Their plain average is 42.6% for the Conservative Party of BC, 39% for the BC NDP and 10.4% for the BC Green Party.

The starting point

The votes counted in each of the 93 districts on October 19, 2024, from Elections BC. Across British Columbia that was 43.3% for the Conservative Party of BC, 44.9% for the BC NDP and 8.2% for the BC Green Party.

SourcesElections BC, Provincial Voting Results by voting place Elections BC, Statement of Votes, 43rd Provincial General Election

The rule

A party’s change since 2024 across British Columbia is added to its 2024 share in every district: -0.7 points for the Conservative Party of BC, -5.9 points for the BC NDP and +2.2 points for the BC Green Party. The party with the highest number leads the district. A party with no candidate on the official list in a district is left out there.

The range

The rule is run again on each of the 6 polls alone. The lowest and the highest seat count for a party are its range. A district is marked “Polls disagree” when those runs name different parties.

What the rule cannot see

A well-known local candidate, a local issue, or a change that is stronger in one region than another.OneBC and Centre BC have no 2024 result to start from, so they get no district estimate. In 2 districts the sitting member is on the list without the party that won the seat in 2024, and the table says so.

What it is

Arithmetic on published polls and official results, with every input on this page. The count on October 24, 2026 decides every seat.

05 / Poll by poll

Every poll, newest first.

12Liaison StrategiesLatest

Interviews Oct 7 to Oct 8, 2026

Conservative Party of BC43%
BC NDP37%
BC Green Party10%
OneBC4%
Other4%
Centre BC3%

Asked: 1,000 British Columbians
882 named a choice
How: Automated phone calls (Interactive Voice Recording, IVR) to landlines and cell phones reached by random digit dialling
Margin of error: ±3.1 points
For the total sample, the margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The margin is higher for subsamples, including decided and leaning voters.
Paid for by: Not stated in the release
Released: October 9, 2026
Shares are of: decided and leaning voters
23% of everyone asked were undecided

11Angus Reid Institute

Interviews Oct 1 to Oct 3, 2026

Conservative Party of BC48%
BC NDP43%
BC Green Party7%
Other2%

Asked: 1,013 Canadian adults who are residents of British Columbia
849 named a choice
How: Online survey of members of the Angus Reid Forum, the firm's online panel
Margin of error: ±3 points
For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Paid for by: Angus Reid Institute, which says it commissioned and paid for the survey itself
Released: October 5, 2026
Shares are of: decided and leaning voters
12% of everyone asked were undecided

The release gives one figure for all other parties, with no separate share for OneBC or CentreBC.
The undecided share is read from a chart in the report. The text and the tables do not print it.

10Mainstreet Research

Interviews Sep 30 to Oct 1, 2026

Conservative Party of BC44.7%
BC NDP37.2%
BC Green Party11.2%
OneBC5.7%
Centre BC1.1%

Asked: 827 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in British Columbia
784 named a choice
How: Automated phone calls (Interactive Voice Response, IVR) to landlines and cell phones
Margin of error: ±3.4 points
The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.4% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample.
Paid for by: Mainstreet Research, which says it commissioned the poll itself
Released: October 6, 2026
Shares are of: decided and leaning voters
13.1% of everyone asked were undecided

Mainstreet publishes shares to one decimal place and lists no other choice. After people who were undecided were asked which party they lean toward, 4.8% stayed undecided.

09Ipsos

Interviews Sep 25 to Sep 29, 2026

Conservative Party of BC42%
BC NDP40%
BC Green Party10%
OneBC3%
Centre BC3%
Other2%

Asked: 1,001 adult British Columbians
733 named a choice
How: Online survey, with the sample sourced through the Ipsos panel
Margin of error: ±3.7 points
The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ±3.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Paid for by: Global BC, in partnership with Ipsos
Released: October 1, 2026
Shares are of: decided voters
23% of everyone asked were undecided

The undecided figure is the row “Completely undecided” in the firm’s tables. The release text gives 27% for people who are undecided or express no preference.
Ipsos reports a credibility interval, its own measure of precision for an online poll.

08Léger

Interviews Sep 24 to Sep 28, 2026

Conservative Party of BC39%
BC NDP36%
BC Green Party13%
OneBC5%
Centre BC5%
Other2%

Asked: 1,003 British Columbia residents aged 18 or older
818 named a choice
How: Online survey of people randomly recruited through Leger's LEO online panel
Margin of error: ±3.1 points
A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample. For comparison purposes, a probability sample of 1,003 respondents would have a margin of error of no greater than ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Paid for by: Not stated in the release
Released: September 30, 2026
Shares are of: decided voters
13% of everyone asked were undecided

The firm says a margin of error cannot be given for an online panel and prints the figure for comparison.

07Innovative Research Group

Interviews Sep 25 to Sep 28, 2026

BC NDP41%
Conservative Party of BC39%
BC Green Party11%
OneBC4%
Centre BC3%
Other3%

Asked: 649 British Columbian citizens, 18 years or older
How: Online survey using INNOVATIVE's Canada 20/20 research panel, with additional respondents from Lucid, a provider of online samples
Margin of error: None stated
Margin of Error: This is a representative sample. However, since the online survey was not a random probability-based sample, a margin of error cannot be calculated. Statements about margins of sampling error or population estimates do not apply to most online panels.
Paid for by: Innovative Research Group, which says it sponsored the survey itself
Released: September 29, 2026
Shares are of: decided voters
13% of everyone asked were undecided

649 people answered, and the firm weights the results to 500.
The firm says a margin of error cannot be calculated for an online sample of this kind.
One slide title in the report says the Greens have 10%, and the chart on that slide says 11%. This page uses the chart.

06Liaison Strategies

Interviews Sep 26 to Sep 27, 2026

Conservative Party of BC40%
BC NDP39%
BC Green Party11%
Centre BC4%
OneBC3%
Other3%

Asked: 1,000 British Columbians
850 named a choice
How: Automated phone calls (Interactive Voice Recording, IVR) to landlines and cell phones reached by random digit dialling
Margin of error: ±3.1 points
For the total sample, the margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The margin is higher for subsamples, including decided and leaning voters.
Paid for by: Not stated in the release
Released: September 29, 2026
Shares are of: decided and leaning voters
25% of everyone asked were undecided

05Angus Reid Institute

Interviews Sep 22 to Sep 24, 2026

Conservative Party of BC43%
BC NDP35%
BC Green Party12%
OneBC4%
Centre BC3%
Other3%

Asked: 801 British Columbian adults
682 named a choice
How: Online survey of members of the Angus Reid Forum, the firm's online panel
Margin of error: ±3.5 points
For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Paid for by: Angus Reid Institute, which says it commissioned and paid for the survey itself
Released: September 24, 2026
Shares are of: decided and leaning voters
20% of everyone asked were undecided

The report gives 10% for other parties. Its data tables split that into OneBC 4%, CentreBC 3% and independent candidates 3%.
The undecided share is from the first vote question. After people were asked which party they lean toward, the tables show 12% undecided.

04Liaison Strategies

Interviews Sep 21 to Sep 22, 2026

BC NDP41%
Conservative Party of BC36%
BC Green Party12%
OneBC4%
Centre BC4%
Other3%

Asked: 1,000 British Columbians
835 named a choice
How: Automated phone calls (Interactive Voice Recording, IVR) to landlines and cell phones reached by random digit dialling
Margin of error: ±3.1 points
For the total sample, the margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The margin is higher for subsamples, including decided and leaning voters.
Paid for by: Not stated in the release
Released: September 23, 2026
Shares are of: decided and leaning voters
24% of everyone asked were undecided

03Innovative Research Group

Interviews Sep 4 to Sep 18, 2026

BC NDP43%
Conservative Party of BC39%
BC Green Party14%
Other4%

Asked: 561 BC respondents in a national survey of Canadian citizens, 18 years or older
How: Online survey using INNOVATIVE's Canada 20/20 research panel, with additional respondents from Lucid, a provider of online samples
Margin of error: None stated
Margin of Error: This is a representative sample. However, since the online survey was not a random probability-based sample, a margin of error cannot be calculated. Statements about margins of sampling error or population estimates do not apply to most online panels.
Paid for by: Innovative Research Group, which says it sponsored the survey itself
Released: September 22, 2026
Shares are of: decided voters

The BC answers are part of a national survey. The report’s method table lists 561 BC respondents across three regions, weighted to 500.
The report cover gives the dates September 4 to 18. One line inside the report says September 4 to 15, and the firm’s web page says August 24 to 25. This page uses the cover.
The firm says a margin of error cannot be calculated for an online sample of this kind.
The release gives one figure for all other parties, with no separate share for OneBC or CentreBC.

02Angus Reid Institute

Interviews Sep 8 to Sep 15, 2026

BC NDP41%
Conservative Party of BC37%
BC Green Party13%
Other9%

Asked: 749 Canadian adults who are residents of British Columbia
640 named a choice
How: Online survey of members of the Angus Reid Forum, the firm's online panel
Margin of error: ±4 points
For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Paid for by: Angus Reid Institute, which says it commissioned and paid for the survey itself
Released: September 17, 2026
Shares are of: decided and leaning voters

The release gives one figure for all other parties, with no separate share for OneBC or CentreBC.
The firm published no undecided share for this poll.

01Ipsos

Interviews Sep 8 to Sep 14, 2026

BC NDP45%
Conservative Party of BC35%
BC Green Party10%
Centre BC4%
Other4%
OneBC2%

Asked: 800 adult British Columbians
567 named a choice
How: Online survey, with the sample sourced through the Ipsos panel
Margin of error: ±4 points
The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ±4.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Paid for by: Not stated in the release
Released: September 15, 2026
Shares are of: decided voters
23% of everyone asked were undecided

The undecided figure is the row “Completely undecided” in the firm’s tables. The release text gives 28% for people who are undecided or express no preference.
Ipsos reports a credibility interval, its own measure of precision for an online poll.

06 / All the numbers

The full table.

Poll	Share of	NDP	Conservative	Green	OneBC	CentreBC	Other	Undecided
Liaison StrategiesOct 7 to Oct 8, 2026 · 1,000 asked · ±3.1	decided and leaning voters	37%	43%	10%	4%	3%	4%	23%
Angus Reid InstituteOct 1 to Oct 3, 2026 · 1,013 asked · ±3	decided and leaning voters	43%	48%	7%	n/p	n/p	2%	12%
Mainstreet ResearchSep 30 to Oct 1, 2026 · 827 asked · ±3.4	decided and leaning voters	37.2%	44.7%	11.2%	5.7%	1.1%	n/p	13.1%
IpsosSep 25 to Sep 29, 2026 · 1,001 asked · ±3.7	decided voters	40%	42%	10%	3%	3%	2%	23%
LégerSep 24 to Sep 28, 2026 · 1,003 asked · ±3.1	decided voters	36%	39%	13%	5%	5%	2%	13%
Innovative Research GroupSep 25 to Sep 28, 2026 · 649 asked	decided voters	41%	39%	11%	4%	3%	3%	13%
Liaison StrategiesSep 26 to Sep 27, 2026 · 1,000 asked · ±3.1	decided and leaning voters	39%	40%	11%	3%	4%	3%	25%
Angus Reid InstituteSep 22 to Sep 24, 2026 · 801 asked · ±3.5	decided and leaning voters	35%	43%	12%	4%	3%	3%	20%
Liaison StrategiesSep 21 to Sep 22, 2026 · 1,000 asked · ±3.1	decided and leaning voters	41%	36%	12%	4%	4%	3%	24%
Innovative Research GroupSep 4 to Sep 18, 2026 · 561 asked	decided voters	43%	39%	14%	n/p	n/p	4%	n/p
Angus Reid InstituteSep 8 to Sep 15, 2026 · 749 asked · ±4	decided and leaning voters	41%	37%	13%	n/p	n/p	9%	n/p
IpsosSep 8 to Sep 14, 2026 · 800 asked · ±4	decided voters	45%	35%	10%	2%	4%	4%	23%

“n/p” means the firm did not publish that figure.

07 / Before you draw conclusions

How to read these polls.

Margin of error

These polls asked between 561 and 1,013 people. 10 of the 12 state a margin of error or a figure like it, from ±3 to ±4 points, 19 times out of 20. A lead smaller than the margin can be no lead at all.

Who paid

Liaison Strategies: Not stated in the release
Angus Reid Institute: Angus Reid Institute, which says it commissioned and paid for the survey itself
Mainstreet Research: Mainstreet Research, which says it commissioned the poll itself
Ipsos: Global BC, in partnership with Ipsos; Not stated in the release
Léger: Not stated in the release
Innovative Research Group: Innovative Research Group, which says it sponsored the survey itself

How people were reached

Liaison Strategies: Automated phone calls (Interactive Voice Recording, IVR) to landlines and cell phones reached by random digit dialling
Angus Reid Institute: Online survey of members of the Angus Reid Forum, the firm's online panel
Mainstreet Research: Automated phone calls (Interactive Voice Response, IVR) to landlines and cell phones
Ipsos: Online survey, with the sample sourced through the Ipsos panel
Léger: Online survey of people randomly recruited through Leger's LEO online panel
Innovative Research Group: Online survey using INNOVATIVE's Canada 20/20 research panel, with additional respondents from Lucid, a provider of online samples

What the shares are a share of

Liaison Strategies: decided and leaning voters
Angus Reid Institute: decided and leaning voters
Mainstreet Research: decided and leaning voters
Ipsos: decided voters
Léger: decided voters
Innovative Research Group: decided voters

This page lists every poll we could find in published form with interviews since September 1, 2026, as of October 10, 2026. If we have missed one, tell us.

08 / Questions

Questions about these polls.

Who is leading the polls in the British Columbia provincial election 2026?

The Conservative Party of BC has 43% and the BC NDP has 37% of decided and leaning voters in the most recent poll, by Liaison Strategies, with interviews Oct 7 to Oct 8, 2026.

How many seats would each party win if the polls are right?

Applying the average of the 6 newest polls to the 2024 result in each district gives 53 for the Conservative Party of BC, 38 for the BC NDP and 2 for the BC Green Party. 47 of 93 seats make a majority. Run on each poll alone, the count for the Conservative Party of BC goes from 41 to 58.

How does voche.me estimate seats?

It takes how many points each party has moved across British Columbia since 2024, using the newest poll from each firm, and adds that same change to the party's 2024 share in every district. The party with the highest number leads the district. The page lists every poll used and every district.

How many polls of the British Columbia provincial election 2026 are on this page?

12 polls by 6 firms (Liaison Strategies, Angus Reid Institute, Mainstreet Research, Ipsos, Léger and Innovative Research Group), with interviews from September 4, 2026 to October 8, 2026. The page starts at September 1, 2026, and each poll links to its source.

When is the election in British Columbia?

Election day is October 24, 2026. Polls are opinion surveys, and the count on election day decides the result.

Does voche.me run its own polls?

voche.me commissions no polls. Every poll figure on this page is copied from the polling firm's published report. The seat estimate is voche.me's own arithmetic on those published figures and on the official results of the last election.

Who is aheadin British Columbia?The published polls, on one page.