Leger poll: Fry leads Sim 23% to 19% with 36% undecided
A Leger survey of 1,207 Metro Vancouver residents conducted September 23 to 30 finds Pete Fry ahead of Ken Sim in the mayoral race, with 62% of Vancouver voters saying the city is on the wrong track.
Reported. A news outlet found this. voche.me names the outlet and links its report. Read the original report on leger360.com.
Pete Fry of the Green Party of Vancouver leads Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver 23% to 19% in the latest Leger survey of the Vancouver mayoral race, with more than a third of voters still undecided eight days before election day. Leger published the full results on October 9, 2026.
The poll covered 1,207 Metro Vancouver residents aged 18 or older and was conducted between September 23 and 30. Leger weighted results by age, gender, region, and education. For a probability sample of that size, Leger says the margin of error would be no greater than plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. That margin means the four-point gap between Fry and Sim is not statistically certain.
The three other candidates in the mayoral race were all in single digits. Colleen Hardwick of TEAM for a Livable Vancouver and Kareem Allam of the Vancouver Liberals were each at 6%, while Rebecca Bligh of Vote Vancouver was at 5%, according to results reported by the Vancouver Sun, which commissioned the poll with Leger for Postmedia.
Certain voters shift the picture
The poll found that half of Metro Vancouver residents said they were 100% certain they would vote on October 17. That figure drops to 35% among residents aged 18 to 34 and rises to 64% among those aged 55 and older.
Among Vancouver voters who said they were certain to cast a ballot, Fry's support rose from 23% overall to 34%. The gap between decided and certain voters is one reason the race remains open. Leger found that 36% of Vancouver voters had not yet decided who they would support.
Vancouver voters among most dissatisfied in Metro
The poll found 62% of Vancouver voters say the city is on the wrong track, compared with 28% who say it is heading in the right direction. Approval of the mayor and council was lower in Vancouver than in any other city measured across Metro Vancouver.
The poll also found 57% of Metro Vancouver residents overall say it is time for a change in city council. That figure rises to 62% in Vancouver specifically.
Cost of living and affordability outside of housing is the leading issue across Metro Vancouver, selected as a top-three concern by 47% of residents, ahead of housing affordability at 34%.
What this means for voters
Voting day is October 17, 2026. Advance voting is open now at locations across the city. If you have not yet registered or want to confirm your voting place, visit the where-to-vote page on this site. You can also read about each mayoral candidate's platform on their profile pages linked above.
Questions this story answers
What did the Leger poll find about the Vancouver mayoral race?
Leger surveyed 1,207 Metro Vancouver residents from September 23 to 30, 2026. In Vancouver's mayoral race, Pete Fry of the Green Party was at 23% and Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver was at 19%. The other three candidates were Colleen Hardwick at 6%, Kareem Allam at 6%, and Rebecca Bligh at 5%. More than a third of Vancouver voters said they were still undecided.
Who conducted the poll and when was it done?
The poll was conducted by Leger, a Canadian market research firm, between September 23 and 30, 2026. The survey covered 1,207 residents aged 18 or older across the Metro Vancouver region. Results were weighted by age, gender, region, and education.
What is the poll's margin of error?
Leger says that for a probability sample of 1,207 respondents, the margin of error would be no greater than plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. This means the gap between Fry at 23% and Sim at 19% falls within that range and the lead is not statistically certain.
How does Pete Fry's support change among voters who are certain to vote?
The poll found that just half of Metro Vancouver residents said they were 100% certain they would vote. Among Vancouver voters who said they were certain to cast a ballot, Fry's support rose from 23% overall to 34%. This pattern, where the leading candidate gains more among committed voters, can matter on election day.
What do Vancouver voters think of the city's direction?
The Leger poll found that 62% of Vancouver voters say the city is on the wrong track, compared with 28% who say it is heading in the right direction. Approval of the mayor and council was lower in Vancouver than across Metro Vancouver as a whole.
What is Mayor Ken Sim's approval rating?
The poll, as reported by the Vancouver Sun, found Ken Sim's approval rating at 32%, with 62% of respondents saying they disapprove of the job he is doing. Those figures cover all poll respondents across Vancouver, not just decided voters.
How does the undecided vote affect the race?
Leger found that more than 36% of Vancouver voters had not yet decided who they would support. In a race where the two leading candidates are within a few percentage points of each other, the undecided voters are a larger share than either candidate's current support.
Where can I vote in the Vancouver municipal election?
Vancouver voting day is October 17, 2026. Advance voting is already under way at locations across the city. You can find the nearest voting place and check if you are registered at the City of Vancouver's voter registration page, or visit voche.me's where-to-vote page.
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