Ipsos poll puts BC Conservatives at 42%, NDP at 40% as campaign enters week two
An Ipsos poll conducted Sept. 25 to 29 for Global News found BC Conservative support up seven points and BC NDP support down five compared to two weeks earlier.
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A new Ipsos poll for Global News puts the BC Conservatives at 42% and the BC NDP at 40% as the province heads into the second week of the Oct. 24 election campaign. Global News reported the results on Oct. 1, 2026.
The poll was conducted between Sept. 25 and 29, 2026, surveying 1,001 adult British Columbians online through the Ipsos panel. The results are accurate to within plus or minus 3.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, according to the methodology statement published by Global News.
The shift from two weeks ago
The BC Conservatives gained seven points and the BC NDP lost five compared to an Ipsos poll conducted Sept. 8 to 14 for the same outlet. At that earlier date, Global News reports, the NDP held a clear lead. The new numbers put the Conservatives two points ahead, within the margin of error.
Kyle Braid, senior vice president at Ipsos, told Global News that the earlier poll showed the Conservatives "in decline and disarray" while the NDP looked "headed to an easy majority government if they called an election." He used the phrase "altered political landscape," and said it was "hard to imagine a worse start to a campaign for the NDP."
The poll also found that BC NDP leader David Eby's personal favorability fell, with unfavorable impressions rising seven points compared to two weeks earlier, according to Global News.
The leadership change that came in between
The period between the two polls included the resignation of BC Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay and the appointment of Lorne Doerkson as interim leader. The Global News report describes the shift in the poll numbers as linked to that change.
What a voter can do with this
Voting day for the BC provincial election is Oct. 24, 2026. Advance voting runs Oct. 16 to 21. You can check your voting options at /bc/provincial-2026.
Questions this story answers
What did the Ipsos poll find?
An Ipsos poll conducted for Global News between Sept. 25 and 29 found 42% of those surveyed supporting the BC Conservatives and 40% supporting the BC NDP. That is a change of seven points up for the Conservatives and five points down for the NDP compared to an earlier Ipsos poll conducted Sept. 8 to 14, according to Global News reporting on Oct. 1, 2026.
What is the margin of error for this poll?
The Ipsos poll is accurate to within plus or minus 3.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, according to the methodology statement published by Global News on Oct. 1, 2026. The credibility interval is wider for subgroups within the sample.
How many people were surveyed?
Ipsos surveyed 1,001 adult British Columbians online between Sept. 25 and 29, 2026, sourcing the sample through the Ipsos panel. The data was weighted by BC region, age, gender, and education based on census proportions, as described in the Global News methodology note.
How does this compare to the previous Ipsos poll?
The previous Ipsos poll for Global News was conducted Sept. 8 to 14, 2026. At that time, the BC NDP held a lead. The Oct. 1 Global News report says the NDP has lost five points and the Conservatives have gained seven points since then, putting the Conservatives two points ahead within the margin of error.
What did Kyle Braid of Ipsos say about the results?
Kyle Braid, senior vice president at Ipsos, told Global News that the earlier poll showed the Conservatives in decline and the NDP headed to an easy majority if they called an election. He said things have changed since then, with the Conservative leader stepping down and a new interim leader in place, and described the current numbers as 'hard to imagine a worse start to a campaign for the NDP.'
What do the results mean for BC Conservative leader Lorne Doerkson?
Lorne Doerkson became interim leader of the Conservative Party of BC after the previous leader resigned. The poll was conducted on Sept. 25 to 29, shortly after Doerkson stepped into the role. The Oct. 1 Global News article quotes the Ipsos pollster describing an 'altered political landscape' following that leadership change.
What did the poll say about NDP leader David Eby's personal ratings?
The Global News report says David Eby's personal favorability ratings declined in this poll, with unfavorable impressions rising seven points compared to two weeks earlier. The report does not break out the specific favorability numbers, only the shift.
Where can I see all BC election polls collected in one place?
Polls covering the BC provincial election of Oct. 24, 2026, including results, field dates, and pollsters, are listed at /bc/provincial-2026. You can compare results from multiple pollsters in that section as new polls are published.
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