Angus Reid poll puts Conservatives five points ahead of NDP, 19 days before voting
An Angus Reid survey of 1,013 BC residents conducted October 1 to 3 shows the Conservative Party of BC at 48 per cent and the BC NDP at 43 per cent.
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The Conservative Party of BC leads the BC NDP by 5 percentage points, according to a new Angus Reid Institute poll. The survey, conducted October 1 to 3 among 1,013 BC residents, put the Conservatives at 48 per cent and the NDP at 43 per cent. The BC Greens stood at 7 per cent.
The Angus Reid Institute published the results on October 5. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
What the numbers show
The 5-point gap sits at the edge of the margin of error, meaning the two parties' actual support levels could overlap. The Angus Reid survey was fielded three weeks before voting day, which is October 24.
Earlier in the campaign, a Liaison Strategies poll from late September showed the Conservatives and NDP within 1 point of each other. An Ipsos poll released October 1 showed Conservative support rising. The Angus Reid poll, based on a larger sample of 1,013 residents, now shows the gap at 5 points in the Conservatives' favour.
The Conservative and NDP positions
Conservative leader Lorne Doerkson has focused the party's campaign on health care and tax policy. The party has pledged to keep emergency rooms open and to remove the provincial sales tax from Canadian-made alcohol.
BC NDP leader David Eby announced on October 5 that his party would introduce a new top income tax bracket for those earning $1 million or more per year if re-elected. The Conservatives responded the same day, calling the proposal a "doctor tax" that would push physicians out of the province.
What voters can do now
Advance voting runs October 16 to 21. Voting day is October 24. You can look up your voting location and check registration at elections.bc.ca. If you want to compare party positions on specific issues, the parties section on this site lists each party's platform and candidates.
Questions this story answers
What did the Angus Reid poll show for the BC election?
The Angus Reid Institute survey conducted October 1 to 3, 2026, put the Conservative Party of BC at 48 per cent and the BC NDP at 43 per cent among 1,013 BC residents. The BC Greens stood at 7 per cent. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
How many people did Angus Reid survey for this poll?
The Angus Reid Institute surveyed 1,013 British Columbia residents as part of a randomized online survey conducted October 1 to 3, 2026. This is a non-profit public opinion research organization based in Canada.
What is the margin of error for the Angus Reid BC election poll?
The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. That means the true level of Conservative support could be as low as 45 per cent or as high as 51 per cent. For the NDP, the range is 40 per cent to 46 per cent.
When were voters in this poll surveyed?
The Angus Reid Institute conducted the survey from October 1 to 3, 2026. The results were published on October 5. Voting day in the BC provincial election is October 24, 2026, meaning the poll was taken three weeks before voting. Advance voting runs October 16 to 21 at locations across the province.
How does this poll compare to earlier BC election surveys?
An Ipsos poll released October 1 showed Conservative support rising and the NDP's two-week lead gone. A Liaison Strategies poll from late September had the Conservatives at 40 per cent and the NDP at 39 per cent. The Angus Reid numbers put the Conservative lead at 5 points, which is within the 3-point margin of error if support is at the near end of each range.
What share does the BC Green Party have in the Angus Reid poll?
The BC Greens stand at 7 per cent in the Angus Reid survey conducted October 1 to 3, 2026, among 1,013 BC residents. The margin of error for the full sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The BC Green Party is running a full slate of candidates in all 93 provincial ridings and is led by its candidate for Saanich North and the Islands.
Where can I vote in the BC provincial election?
Voting day is Saturday, October 24, 2026. Advance voting runs October 16 to 21, from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. each day. Elections BC maintains a full list of voting locations and registration information at elections.bc.ca. You can also vote by mail if you register for that option in advance through Elections BC.
Who is the Conservative leader and who is the NDP leader in this election?
The Conservative Party of BC is led by Lorne Doerkson, who is running in the Cariboo-Chilcotin district. The BC NDP is led by David Eby, the current premier, who is running in Vancouver-Point Grey. Both are candidates on this site at their respective candidate pages.
Sources
The pages this story draws on. Open one to check a claim yourself.
- Angus Reid Institute poll: BC Election, October 5, 2026angusreid.org
- Elections BC: Vote by mail and advance voting informationelections.bc.ca
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