Quorus poll shows Sutcliffe at 28 per cent, Leiper at 24 per cent four days before Ottawa votes
A Quorus Consulting Group survey of 807 Ottawa residents, conducted Oct. 8 to 15, put incumbent mayor Mark Sutcliffe at 28 per cent and challenger Jeff Leiper at 24 per cent, the Ottawa Citizen reported Oct. 22.
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The Ottawa Citizen reported on Oct. 22 that a Quorus Consulting Group poll put incumbent mayor Mark Sutcliffe at 28 per cent and challenger Jeff Leiper at 24 per cent, four days before voting day. Neil Saravanamuttoo was at 7 per cent and Alex Lawson at 4 per cent, the Ottawa Citizen reported. The Citizen's story ran under the byline of Aedan Helmer.
The survey covered 807 Ottawa residents and was conducted from Oct. 8 to 15, the Ottawa Citizen said. Quorus said a margin of error could not be calculated, because respondents were selected from a group of people who had signed up to take online surveys through a panel, the Ottawa Citizen reported. When respondents come from a panel rather than a random selection of the population, it is not possible to calculate how far the results might differ from the true picture among all voters.
Several other polls have been published during the 2026 Ottawa mayor race. Earlier surveys by Nanos Research and Mainstreet Research also asked Ottawa residents about their choices for mayor. Each pollster uses different methods, questions and timing, so results across polls are not directly comparable. A voter following the Ottawa race will have seen a range of numbers from different firms; the Quorus Oct. 8 to 15 survey is the most recent published as of Oct. 22, 2026, four days before voting day. It is one piece of information, alongside each candidate's platform and record, that a voter can weigh before Oct. 26.
The four candidates on the ballot are incumbent mayor Mark Sutcliffe, Jeff Leiper, Neil Saravanamuttoo and Alex Lawson. Ottawa voters choose a mayor, a councillor in one of 24 wards, and trustees for four school boards on the same day.
Voting day is Monday, Oct. 26, 2026. Polls open at 10 a.m. and close at 8 p.m. Ottawa voters can find candidate information for the mayor race and all wards at /on/ottawa-2026/candidates#mayor.
Questions this story answers
What did the Quorus poll show for the Ottawa mayor race?
The Ottawa Citizen published Quorus poll results on Oct. 22, 2026, showing incumbent mayor Mark Sutcliffe at 28 per cent and challenger Jeff Leiper at 24 per cent. Neil Saravanamuttoo was at 7 per cent and Alex Lawson at 4 per cent. The survey covered 807 Ottawa residents and ran from Oct. 8 to 15.
Who conducted the Quorus poll reported by the Ottawa Citizen?
Quorus Consulting Group conducted the survey. The Ottawa Citizen published the results on Oct. 22, 2026, in a report by Aedan Helmer. The survey covered 807 Ottawa residents and was conducted from Oct. 8 to 15, 2026, according to the Ottawa Citizen.
What is the margin of error for the Quorus poll?
Quorus said a margin of error could not be calculated because respondents were chosen from a group of people who had registered to take part in online surveys through a panel, not a random sample of the population, according to the Ottawa Citizen. This is different from a telephone or random-digit-dial poll, where a margin of error can be calculated.
What are the other polls showing for the Ottawa mayor race in 2026?
Several polls have been published during the 2026 Ottawa campaign. In September, a Nanos Research poll showed Sutcliffe with a larger lead, and a Mainstreet Research poll published Oct. 18 showed results for Alex Lawson. You can see the polling history at /on/ottawa-2026/news. Voting day is Oct. 26, 2026.
Who are the candidates for mayor of Ottawa in 2026?
The four main candidates polled by Quorus are incumbent Mark Sutcliffe, Jeff Leiper, Neil Saravanamuttoo and Alex Lawson. You can read about each of them at their candidate pages: /on/ottawa-2026/candidates/mark-sutcliffe, /on/ottawa-2026/candidates/jeff-leiper, /on/ottawa-2026/candidates/neil-saravanamuttoo and /on/ottawa-2026/candidates/alex-lawson.
When is voting day in the Ottawa municipal election?
Voting day is Monday, Oct. 26, 2026. Polls are open from 10 a.m. to 8 p.m. Ottawa voters choose a mayor, a councillor for their ward, and school board trustees. You can find candidate information for all four races at /on/ottawa-2026/candidates.
What is an online survey panel and how does it affect poll results?
An online survey panel is a group of people who signed up to take surveys. Because they chose to join the panel, they are not a random sample of the population. Quorus told the Ottawa Citizen that because the 807 respondents came from such a panel, a standard margin of error could not be calculated. This means the range of possible true values is not known, which is different from a random-sample poll.
How does the Oct. 8 to 15 Quorus poll compare to earlier polls in the race?
The Ottawa Citizen noted this was a closer result than other polls published during the campaign. Voters can compare all published polls for the Ottawa mayor race by visiting the Ottawa election news page at /on/ottawa-2026/news. Voting day is Oct. 26, 2026.
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