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title: "Vancouver mayoral election polls 2026 | voche.me"
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description: "Every published poll on the 2026 Vancouver mayoral race, charted: vote share over time, favourability, approval, party support and top issues, with sources."
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VANCOUVER MAYOR 2026 · PUBLIC OPINION POLLS
# Who is ahead
for mayor?*Every published poll, on one page.*
3 surveys have asked Vancouver residents who they would vote for since the candidate list was settled, and 3 earlier tests measured line-ups that never made the ballot. Every chart shows the numbers as the pollster published them, with dates, sample sizes and links to the original reports.
The only count that decides the election is the vote on October 17, 2026.
Latest published poll
## Fry leads Sim by 15 points.
Justason Market Intelligence · Aug 31 to Sep 11, 2026 · 607 Vancouver adults, 336 with a choice for mayor · margin of error ±4.35 points
1. [1**Pete Fry**Green Party of Vancouver**45%**+26 vs Research Co.](https://voche.me/candidates/pete-fry)
2. [2**Ken Sim**ABC Vancouver**30%**0 vs Research Co.](https://voche.me/candidates/ken-sim)
3. [3**Colleen Hardwick**TEAM for a Livable Vancouver**11%**-3 vs Research Co.](https://voche.me/candidates/colleen-hardwick)
4. [4**Kareem Allam**Vancouver Liberals**10%**-9 vs Research Co.](https://voche.me/candidates/kareem-allam)
- Pete Fry**45%**
- Ken Sim**30%**
- Colleen Hardwick**11%**
- Kareem Allam**10%**
Share of decided voters, as published. Changes compare with the Research Co. poll, a different company using a different method, so the change mixes two ways of measuring. A poll measures opinion only on the days it was taken.
01 / Over time
## How the race has moved.
Each dot is one poll, placed on the last day of its interviews. Solid lines are candidates on the ballot. Dashed lines are people who withdrew or never ran.
-
-
- Justason Market Intelligence, Aug 31 to Sep 11, 2026: Pete Fry**45%**
- Justason Market Intelligence, Aug 31 to Sep 11, 2026: Ken Sim**30%**
- Justason Market Intelligence, Aug 31 to Sep 11, 2026: Colleen Hardwick**11%**
- Justason Market Intelligence, Aug 31 to Sep 11, 2026: Kareem Allam**10%**
- Justason Market Intelligence, Aug 31 to Sep 11, 2026: Rebecca Bligh**5%**
- Research Co., Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026: Ken Sim**30%**
- Research Co., Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026: Kareem Allam**19%**
- Research Co., Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026: Pete Fry**19%**
- Research Co., Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026: Colleen Hardwick**14%**
- Research Co., Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026: Rebecca Bligh**7%**
- Research Co., Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026: William Azaroff**5%**
- Research Co., Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026: Stephanie Allen**4%**
- Research Co., Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026: Other candidates**3%**
Pallas Data published only figures that include undecided voters, so it appears under “All respondents”. Mainstreet’s 2025 surveys tested Conservative candidates who did not run.
02 / Poll by poll
## Every poll, newest first.
Who paid for it, who was asked, how, and what they said. Open the source links to read the pollster’s own report.
06Justason Market IntelligenceLatest
### Interviews Aug 31 to Sep 11, 2026
- Pete Fry**45%**
- Ken Sim**30%**
- Colleen Hardwick**11%**
- Kareem Allam**10%**
- Rebecca Bligh**5%**
- Asked
- 607 Vancouver adults
336 named a mayoral choice
- How
- Online survey, weighted by gender, age and region
- Margin of error
- ±4.35 points
For the full sample of 607, 19 times out of 20. The effective sample after weighting is 509. The decided-voter group of 336 has a wider margin.
- Paid for by
- Justason Market Intelligence, co-sponsored by Fair Voting BC
- Released
- September 16, 2026
#### Inside the interview period
Interviews Aug 31 to Sep 7, before Azaroff withdrew (218 interviews)
- Fry**38%**
- Sim**33%**
- Hardwick**13%**
- Allam**10%**
- Bligh**6%**
Interviews Sep 8 to 11, after both withdrawals (119 interviews)
- Fry**59%**
- Sim**24%**
- Allam**8%**
- Hardwick**6%**
- Bligh**2%**
- **60% / 19%**Women: Fry / Sim
- **39% / 32%**Men: Sim / Fry
- **48%**Fry on the East Side
- **47%**Fry downtown
- **39%**Fry on the West Side
- Voters who first chose Stephanie Allen or William Azaroff were moved to their stated second choice after those two candidates withdrew during the field period.
- The two sub-period figures come from the pollster’s data tables. The later group holds 119 interviews, so its margin of error is wider than the full sample.
05Research Co.
### Interviews Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026
-
-
- Ken Sim**30%**
- Kareem Allam**19%**
- Pete Fry**19%**
- Colleen Hardwick**14%**
- Rebecca Bligh**7%**
- William Azaroff**5%**
- Stephanie Allen**4%**
- Other candidates**3%**
- Asked
- 401 likely voters
- How
- Online survey, weighted by age, gender and region
- Margin of error
- ±4.9 points
19 times out of 20.
- Paid for by
- Research Co.
- Released
- August 4, 2026
- Undecided
- 26% of everyone asked, left out of the shares shown
- **36%**Undecided among voters 55 and over
- **20% / 14% / 11%**Best placed to beat Sim: Allam / Fry / Hardwick
- **39%**Could not name anyone to beat Sim
- **28% / 15%**Sim among homeowners / renters (all respondents)
- William Azaroff and Stephanie Allen were still in the race when this poll was taken.
04Pallas Data
### Interviews Jul 20 to Jul 24, 2026
- Pete Fry**18%**
- Ken Sim**14%**
- Kareem Allam**12%**
- Colleen Hardwick**11%**
- Stephanie Allen**6%**
- William Azaroff**4%**
- Rebecca Bligh**3%**
- Undecided**34%**
- Asked
- 312 Vancouver adults eligible to vote
- How
- Automated telephone interviews (IVR) on landlines and cell phones, weighted by age, gender and region
- Margin of error
- ±5.5 points
At the 95% confidence level.
- Paid for by
- Conservative Electors Association
- Released
- July 30, 2026
- **40% / 31%**Undecided renters / homeowners
- **19% / 9%**Sim among men / women
- **16% / 7%**Allam among women / men
- **18% / 7%**Sim among homeowners / renters
- Paid for by the Conservative Electors Association, a party that did not run a mayoral candidate. The pollster published only figures that include undecided voters.
03Mainstreet ResearchLine-up that did not happen
### If Kirk LaPointe ran for the Vancouver Conservatives
Interviews Oct 17 to Oct 22, 2025
- Kirk LaPointe**26%**
- Pete Fry**20%**
- Sean Orr**17%**
- Kareem Allam**16%**
- Ken Sim**11%**
- Colleen Hardwick**4%**
- Rebecca Bligh**3%**
- Amanda Burrows**2%**
- Fred Harding**1%**
- Asked
- 1,205 Vancouver adults of voting age
- How
- Not stated in the published report we could access
- Margin of error
- ±2.8 points
19 times out of 20.
- Paid for by
- Mainstreet Research
- Released
- October 25, 2025
- **32% / 22% / 13%**Party vote: Conservatives / Liberals / COPE
- **11% / 8% / 5%**Party vote: Greens / ABC / OneCity
- **4% / 4% / 2%**Party vote: TEAM / Vote Vancouver / NPA
- A test of a line-up that never happened. The Vancouver Conservatives did not run a mayoral candidate, Kirk LaPointe ran in West Vancouver, and Sean Orr, Amanda Burrows and Fred Harding are not on the mayoral ballot.
- The figures were published without a separate undecided share.
02Mainstreet ResearchLine-up that did not happen
### If John Coupar ran for the Vancouver Conservatives
Interviews Oct 17 to Oct 22, 2025
- John Coupar**25%**
- Sean Orr**20%**
- Pete Fry**20%**
- Kareem Allam**13%**
- Ken Sim**13%**
- Colleen Hardwick**4%**
- Amanda Burrows**2%**
- Fred Harding**1%**
- Asked
- 1,205 Vancouver adults of voting age
- How
- Not stated in the published report we could access
- Margin of error
- ±2.8 points
19 times out of 20.
- Paid for by
- Mainstreet Research
- Released
- October 25, 2025
- Same survey as the LaPointe test, with a different Conservative name. The report we could access did not give a figure for Rebecca Bligh in this version.
01Mainstreet ResearchLine-up that did not happen
### Party and leader pairings as they stood in August 2025
Interviews Aug 27 to Aug 29, 2025
-
-
- Kareem Allam**19%**
- John Coupar**18%**
- Pete Fry**17%**
- Ken Sim**15%**
- Amanda Burrows**8%**
- Fred Harding**8%**
- Lewis**8%**
- Colleen Hardwick**6%**
- Asked
- 961 Vancouver adults
- How
- Automated telephone interviews (smart IVR) on landlines and cell phones
- Margin of error
- ±3.2 points
At the 95% confidence level.
- Paid for by
- Mainstreet Research
- Released
- September 5, 2025
- Undecided
- 28% of everyone asked, left out of the shares shown
- **28% / 72%**Would consider re-electing ABC / Ken Sim: yes / no
- **10% / 15%**Vancouver better since Sim became mayor: a lot / somewhat
- **23% / 32%**Vancouver worse since Sim became mayor: somewhat / much
- **19%**Not sure whether better or worse
- The COPE candidate is printed only as “Lewis” in the report. The Conservative name tested was John Coupar. Several of the people in this line-up are not on the 2026 mayoral ballot.
03 / Opinions of the people
## Who voters like.
A favourable view means the person answered “positive” when asked their opinion of the candidate. Liking a candidate is different from voting for them.
- Pete Fry**45%**
- Kennedy Stewart**40%**
- Ken Sim**39%**
- Colleen Hardwick**36%**
- Kareem Allam**33%**
- Rebecca Bligh**31%**
- William Azaroff**25%**
- Stephanie Allen**24%**
Research Co. · Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026 · 401 likely voters
- **52%**Hold an unfavourable view of Ken Sim, the highest share for any candidate tested. His net score is −13.
- **+12**Pete Fry’s net score, the best in the field. Kareem Allam is next at +10.
- **40%**View former mayor Kennedy Stewart favourably. He is not a candidate.
Net score is the favourable share minus the unfavourable share. Muted bars are people who withdrew or never ran.
Sources [Research Co. release ](https://researchco.ca/2026/08/04/vanpoli-2/) [The Tyee, August 13, 2026 (unfavourable and net figures) ](https://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2026/08/13/Mayor-Ken-Sim-Poised-Win-Re-Election/)
04 / Direction of the city
## How voters rate the mayor.
Four companies asked whether Ken Sim and the city are doing well. Each bar is one question from one poll, so compare the wording before comparing the numbers.
Do you approve or disapprove of Ken Sim’s performance as mayor?
- Strongly approve**8%**
- Somewhat approve**20%**
- Somewhat disapprove**14%**
- Strongly disapprove**34%**
- Strongly approve **8%**
- Somewhat approve **20%**
- Somewhat disapprove **14%**
- Strongly disapprove **34%**
Pallas Data · Jul 20 to Jul 24, 2026 · 312 Vancouver adults eligible to vote
Approval of Mayor Ken Sim
- Approve**29%**
- Disapprove**56%**
- Approve **29%**
- Disapprove **56%**
Leger · Dec 3 to Dec 10, 2025 · 353 Vancouver residents
Approval of City Council
- Approve**32%**
- Approve **32%**
Leger · Dec 3 to Dec 10, 2025 · 353 Vancouver residents
Is Vancouver on the right track or the wrong track?
- Right track**30%**
- Wrong track**63%**
- Right track **30%**
- Wrong track **63%**
Leger · Dec 3 to Dec 10, 2025 · 353 Vancouver residents
Have things got better or worse since Ken Sim became mayor?
- A lot better**10%**
- Somewhat better**15%**
- Somewhat worse**23%**
- Much worse**32%**
- Don’t know**19%**
- A lot better **10%**
- Somewhat better **15%**
- Somewhat worse **23%**
- Much worse **32%**
- Don’t know **19%**
Mainstreet Research · Aug 27 to Aug 29, 2025 · 961 Vancouver adults
Would you consider voting to re-elect ABC and Ken Sim?
- Yes**28%**
- No**72%**
- Yes **28%**
- No **72%**
Mainstreet Research · Aug 27 to Aug 29, 2025 · 961 Vancouver adults
What should happen to ABC’s leadership of the city?
- Keep the current leadership**27%**
- Change the leaders, keep the policies**32%**
- Different ideas and policies**27%**
- Keep the current leadership **27%**
- Change the leaders, keep the policies **32%**
- Different ideas and policies **27%**
Research Co. · Jan 26 to Jan 28, 2026 · 401 Vancouver adults
### What kind of change voters want
Research Co. · Jan 26 to Jan 28, 2026 · 401 Vancouver adults · ±4.9 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
- **59%** Vancouver needs a mayor and council willing to make major changes · **23%** Too risky for Vancouver
- **44%** The city needs more progressive councillors · **25%** Disagree
- **47%** Support ending the Board of Parks and Recreation
- **70%** Want a referendum before the Park Board is ended
Source [Research Co. release, February 2, 2026 ](https://researchco.ca/2026/02/02/vanpoli/)
### Other Leger findings
Leger · Dec 3 to Dec 10, 2025 · 353 Vancouver residents · Online panel (LEO), weighted by age and gender
- **49%** Support the promised property tax freeze for 2026
- **66%** Support more density along rapid transit
- **53%** Support low-income and supportive housing in their own neighbourhood
- **81%** Say they are likely to vote in the municipal election
Leger does not attach a margin of error to a panel sample. A probability sample of this size would carry ±5.2%.
Sources [Leger: Vancouver and Surrey residents on city issues ](https://leger360.com/in-the-news-vancouver-residents-opinion-concerns-city-issues-before-elections/) [Vancouver Sun report via Yahoo News ](https://ca.news.yahoo.com/most-vancouverites-believe-city-wrong-140024854.html)
05 / Council and parties
## How the parties stand.
Council seats are decided by party slates as much as by the mayor. The pollsters asked different questions, so each chart names its own.
Would “definitely” or “probably” include this party’s candidates on a council ballot
- Green Party of Vancouver**42%**
- ABC Vancouver**40%**
- TEAM for a Livable Vancouver**35%**
- Vancouver Liberals**35%**
- OneCity Vancouver**34%**
- Vote Vancouver**32%**
- COPE**26%**
Research Co. · Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026 · poll details
Positive opinion of the party
- Green Party of Vancouver**51%**
- Vancouver Liberals**48%**
- OneCity Vancouver**44%**
- ABC Vancouver**42%**
- TEAM for a Livable Vancouver**41%**
- COPE**35%**
- Vote Vancouver**34%**
Research Co. · Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026 · poll details
Council vote intention, all respondents (39% undecided)
- Green Party of Vancouver**13%**
- Vancouver Liberals**12%**
- COPE**11%**
- ABC Vancouver**10%**
- TEAM for a Livable Vancouver**7%**
- Vancouver Conservatives**7%**
- OneCity Vancouver**2%**
- Vote Vancouver**1%**
Pallas Data · Jul 20 to Jul 24, 2026 · poll details
Which party’s mayoral candidate would you vote for
- Vancouver Conservatives**32%**
- Vancouver Liberals**22%**
- COPE**13%**
- Green Party of Vancouver**11%**
- ABC Vancouver**8%**
- OneCity Vancouver**5%**
- TEAM for a Livable Vancouver**4%**
- Vote Vancouver**4%**
- NPA**2%**
Mainstreet Research · Oct 17 to Oct 22, 2025 · poll details
Which party would you support, undecided removed
- Vancouver Liberals**23%**
- Vancouver Conservatives**19%**
- ABC Vancouver**15%**
- Green Party of Vancouver**12%**
- OneCity Vancouver**10%**
- COPE**8%**
- NPA**6%**
- TEAM for a Livable Vancouver**6%**
Mainstreet Research · Aug 27 to Aug 29, 2025 · poll details
06 / What voters care about
## The single most important issue.
Residents were asked to name one issue facing the city, in their own words. 42% named cost of living or housing first.
- Cost of living generally**23%**
- Housing affordability**19%**
- City government leadership or accountability**10%**
- Public safety, crime**10%**
- Homelessness**9%**
- Taxes and city spending**7%**
- Mental health and addictions**6%**
- Traffic, transportation, transit**4%**
- Climate change and extreme weather**2%**
- Development and growth**2%**
- Parks and public spaces**2%**
Justason Market Intelligence · Aug 31 to Sep 11, 2026 · 607 Vancouver adults
- **10%**Named public safety and crime, the same share as city leadership and accountability.
Answers under 2%, “other”, “not sure” and “not stated” are left off the chart. Leger’s December 2025 survey, which offered a fixed list, put public safety first at 33% and lower taxes second at 27%.
Source [Justason data tables PDF ](http://www.justasonmi.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/CoV_2026_Mayoral_vote_tabs.pdf)
07 / All the numbers
## The full table.
Every mayoral poll and every published figure. Rows marked “all” include undecided voters; rows marked “decided” leave them out.
| Poll | Share of | Fry | Sim | Hardwick | Allam | Bligh | Others | Undecided |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Justason Market IntelligenceAug 31 to Sep 11, 2026 · 607 asked · ±4.35 | Decided | 45% | 30% | 11% | 10% | 5% | n/p | n/p |
| Research Co.Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026 · 401 asked · ±4.9 | Decided | 19% | 30% | 14% | 19% | 7% | Azaroff 5%Allen 4%Other 3% | n/p |
| Research Co.Jul 30 to Aug 1, 2026 · 401 asked · ±4.9 | All | 14% | 22% | 10% | 14% | 5% | Azaroff 4%Allen 3%Other 2% | 26% |
| Pallas DataJul 20 to Jul 24, 2026 · 312 asked · ±5.5 | All | 18% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 3% | Azaroff 4%Allen 6% | 34% |
| Mainstreet ResearchOct 17 to Oct 22, 2025 · 1,205 asked · ±2.8 · If Kirk LaPointe ran for the Vancouver Conservatives | Decided | 20% | 11% | 4% | 16% | 3% | LaPointe 26%Orr 17%Burrows 2%Harding 1% | n/p |
| Mainstreet ResearchOct 17 to Oct 22, 2025 · 1,205 asked · ±2.8 · If John Coupar ran for the Vancouver Conservatives | Decided | 20% | 13% | 4% | 13% | n/p | Coupar 25%Orr 20%Burrows 2%Harding 1% | n/p |
| Mainstreet ResearchAug 27 to Aug 29, 2025 · 961 asked · ±3.2 · Party and leader pairings as they stood in August 2025 | Decided | 17% | 15% | 6% | 19% | n/p | Coupar 18%Lewis 8%Burrows 8%Harding 8% | n/p |
| Mainstreet ResearchAug 27 to Aug 29, 2025 · 961 asked · ±3.2 · Party and leader pairings as they stood in August 2025 | All | 13% | 11% | 4% | 14% | n/p | Coupar 13%Lewis 6%Burrows 6%Harding 5% | 28% |
“n/p” means the pollster did not publish that figure. Muhammad Ahmad, Amauri Caliman and Scott Gilbert are on the ballot but were not named in any published poll; Research Co. grouped remaining candidates as “other”.
08 / Before you draw conclusions
## How to read these polls.
### Margin of error
A poll of 400 people can miss the true number by up to 5 points in either direction, 19 times out of 20. A lead of 3 points in such a poll is within that range and may not be a lead at all. A poll of 1,200 people is accurate to within 3 points.
### Decided voters
Most headlines quote shares among people who have picked a candidate. In the summer polls, 26% to 34% of respondents had not picked one. Those people can move the result on election day.
### Who paid
Pallas Data’s July survey was paid for by the Conservative Electors Association. The other polls were paid for by the pollsters themselves or, in Justason’s case, shared with Fair Voting BC, a group that campaigns for a different voting system.
### Phone versus online
Mainstreet and Pallas called people with an automated phone system. Research Co., Justason and Leger used online panels. The two methods reach different people, which is one reason the numbers differ between companies.
### Different line-ups
The 2025 surveys included a Vancouver Conservatives candidate who never ran, and COPE and OneCity candidates who withdrew in September 2026. Those results describe a different contest from the one on the ballot.
### Timing
The Justason survey was in the field while two candidates dropped out. Interviews taken after September 8 put Pete Fry at 59%, against 38% in interviews taken before. The next poll will show whether that held.
### Campaign dates that changed the candidate list
1. September 2, 2026Stephanie Allen (COPE) withdraws and endorses Pete Fry [Justason release ](https://www.justasonmi.com/?p=6484)
2. September 8, 2026William Azaroff (OneCity) withdraws and endorses Pete Fry [Vancouver Sun via Yahoo News ](https://ca.news.yahoo.com/william-azaroff-backs-vancouver-mayoral-183510816.html)
3. October 17, 2026Election day [City of Vancouver ](https://vancouver.ca/your-government/2026-election.aspx)
This page lists every mayoral poll we could find in published form as of September 22, 2026. New polls are added when a pollster or news outlet publishes them. If we have missed one, [tell us](https://voche.me/about).
## Sitemap
See the full [sitemap](/sitemap.md) for all pages.