---
title: "Pollara final poll puts Chow at 48%, Bradford at 40% the day before the vote"
description: "Pollara Strategic Insights released its final Toronto mayoral tracking poll on October 25, showing Olivia Chow leading Brad Bradford by 8 points among likely voters."
canonical_url: "https://voche.me/on/toronto-2026/news/pollara-final-poll-chow-bradford-october-25"
last_updated: "2026-10-26T02:37:21.153Z"
---

Pollara Strategic Insights released its final Toronto mayoral tracking poll on October 25, 2026, the day before voting, finding [Olivia Chow](/on/toronto-2026/candidates/olivia-chow) ahead of [Brad Bradford](/on/toronto-2026/candidates/brad-bradford) by 8 points among likely voters. The poll was conducted for CUPE Local 416, the Toronto Civic Employees' Union.

Among 1,505 likely voters surveyed between October 16 and 24, 48% said they support or lean toward Chow and 40% said they support or lean toward Bradford. One percent said they would vote for someone else, and 10% remained undecided. Among the 90% of likely voters who had made a decision, Chow leads Bradford 54% to 45%, according to the Pollara report.

The poll covered a field window that included advance voting, which ran from October 6 to 11. Pollara included those who had already voted at an advance poll and asked them how they voted. According to the methodology document, 30% of respondents in the sample had already voted at advance polls.

**How the poll was done**

Pollara conducted a hybrid online and telephone survey of 1,596 Toronto residents aged 18 and older who are eligible to vote. Of those, 998 participated through an online panel and 598 were reached by live telephone. Results in the report are based on the 1,505 respondents Pollara classified as likely voters.

Data was weighted by region, gender and age based on historical turnout rates. A probability sample of 1,505 would be accurate to plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Pollara notes that online surveys cannot be assigned a formal margin of error; the figure reflects an equivalent probability sample of the same size.

**Why the sponsor matters**

CUPE Local 416 represents City of Toronto outside workers. The union commissioned this poll. Pollara is a member of the Canadian Research Insights Council and says the research was conducted in compliance with CRIC standards. The sponsor is named in the full methodology document Pollara published alongside the results.

**What other polls have shown**

This is the final tracking poll Pollara published before election day. Other polling firms also released results in the final week. A Liaison Strategies poll published October 21 put Bradford at 49% and Chow at 47%. A Canada Pulse Insights poll published October 23 showed Chow leading Bradford by 5 points. A Mainstreet Research poll from October 20 showed Bradford ahead. The range of recent results is shown at the [Toronto polls page](/on/toronto-2026/news).

Voting is on Monday, October 26, 2026. Toronto residents can find their voting place and identification requirements at the City of Toronto's election page.

## Sitemap

See the full [sitemap](/on/toronto-2026/sitemap.md) for all pages.