---
title: "Nanos poll finds Chow and Bradford in statistical tie with six days to vote"
description: "A Nanos Research survey for CP24 and CTV News Toronto, conducted Oct. 15-18, puts Olivia Chow at 49.8 per cent and Brad Bradford at 46.6 per cent among decided voters, within the margin of error."
canonical_url: "https://voche.me/on/toronto-2026/news/nanos-poll-chow-bradford-statistical-tie-october-20"
last_updated: "2026-10-20T13:49:41.483Z"
---

[Olivia Chow](/on/toronto-2026/candidates/olivia-chow) and [Brad Bradford](/on/toronto-2026/candidates/brad-bradford) are within the margin of error in the latest Nanos Research poll of the Toronto mayoral race. The survey, conducted Oct. 15-18 for CP24 and CTV News Toronto, puts Chow at 49.8 per cent and Bradford at 46.6 per cent among decided voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. CTV News published the results on Oct. 20.

Nanos Research reached 762 Toronto residents aged 18 and older using a random-digit-dial method, with interviews on both landlines and mobile phones and online. Sixteen per cent said they were still undecided, down from 22 per cent in a Nanos poll released on Oct. 6.

According to CTV News, Chow leads in Scarborough at 50.9 per cent and in downtown Toronto at 58.2 per cent, while Bradford leads in North York at 54.1 per cent and Etobicoke at 52.9 per cent.

Chow has the support of more than 55 per cent of respondents aged 18 to 34, the CTV News report says, while Bradford is the preferred choice among those aged 35 to 54 at 52.2 per cent and among those 55 and older at 49.7 per cent.

CTV News chief data scientist Nik Nanos said in a statement that the deciding factors will be the debate and "organizational muscle to deliver supporters." A debate titled "Toronto Decides: The Municipal Debate" is scheduled for Oct. 22 at 7 p.m. on CP24. Nanos said "things can still change ahead of the Oct. 26 vote."

Among those most likely to vote, Chow holds a four-point advantage, while Bradford leads by four points among those less certain they will cast a ballot, CTV News reported. Chow held a nearly 10-point lead over Bradford in a Nanos poll released Oct. 6.

Voting day is Monday, Oct. 26. A summary of all published polls in this race, with pollster, field dates, sample size and margin of error for each, is at the [Toronto 2026 poll tracker](/on/toronto-2026/polls).

## Sitemap

See the full [sitemap](/on/toronto-2026/sitemap.md) for all pages.