---
title: "Mainstreet poll puts Bradford ahead of Chow with six days to go"
description: "A Mainstreet Research survey conducted Oct. 16-18 finds Brad Bradford at 48.9 per cent and Olivia Chow at 47.5 per cent, within the margin of error."
canonical_url: "https://voche.me/on/toronto-2026/news/mainstreet-poll-bradford-leads-chow-october-20"
last_updated: "2026-10-20T13:49:41.604Z"
---

A new poll from Mainstreet Research finds [Brad Bradford](/on/toronto-2026/candidates/brad-bradford) at 48.9 per cent and [Olivia Chow](/on/toronto-2026/candidates/olivia-chow) at 47.5 per cent in the Toronto mayoral race, with six days until election day on Monday, Oct. 26. Because both figures fall within the survey's margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, the poll does not establish which candidate is actually ahead. CityNews Toronto reported the results on Oct. 20, 2026.

Mainstreet Research surveyed 1,000 Toronto adults aged 18 and older between Oct. 16 and 18, using Interactive Voice Response on landlines and mobile phones. Thirteen per cent of respondents said they were undecided.

Quito Maggi, president and CEO of Mainstreet Research, said in a statement that Chow "had previously led wire to wire" in the firm's polling of this race. "Brad Bradford now leads in Etobicoke and North York and Chow leads in Scarborough and downtown," Maggi said, according to CityNews Toronto. He described the race as "truly too close to call."

Bradford leads among older voters, a group Mainstreet says is more likely to cast a ballot on election day. Maggi said the final result will depend on voter turnout and the last days of campaigning.

This is the most recent Mainstreet poll in a race that has tightened across October. An earlier Mainstreet poll released Oct. 9 found Chow ahead. A separate Nanos Research poll for CTV News and CP24, also conducted Oct. 15-18, put Chow at 49.8 per cent and Bradford at 46.6 per cent among decided voters, also within that survey's margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

Voting day is Monday, Oct. 26, 2026. You can compare all published polls in this race, with pollster, field dates, sample size and margin of error for each, at the [Toronto 2026 poll tracker](/on/toronto-2026/polls).

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