---
title: "Leger poll puts Conservatives at 44%, NDP at 39%, two days before voting"
description: "A Leger survey conducted October 20 to 22 shows the BC Conservatives leading the BC NDP by 5 points among decided voters, with the BC Greens at 13%."
canonical_url: "https://voche.me/bc/provincial-2026/news/leger-poll-bc-conservatives-lead-october-22-2026"
last_updated: "2026-10-22T23:48:06.570Z"
---

A Leger poll conducted October 20 to 22, 2026 shows the Conservative Party of BC leading the BC NDP by 5 percentage points among decided voters, two days before voting day.

Leger surveyed 1,072 British Columbia residents aged 18 or older using its LEO online panel. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

The Conservative Party of BC stands at 44%. The BC NDP sits at 39%. The BC Greens are at 13%. Six percent of respondents said they were undecided.

## How each region breaks

In Metro Vancouver the Conservatives lead 44% to 40% for the NDP. On Vancouver Island the two parties are nearly tied: Conservatives 39%, NDP 40%. In the rest of the province the Conservatives lead by 10 points, 46% to 36%.

Among men, Leger found a 12-point Conservative advantage. Among women, the NDP holds a 2-point edge.

Voters aged 18 to 34 back the BC Greens at 20%, the highest Green number across age groups. Voters aged 35 to 54 lean Conservative by 14 points.

## How this compares to earlier in the campaign

Conservative support is up 5 points since Leger's survey in early October. NDP support is up 3 points. Green support is up 4 points. The share of undecided voters fell from 12% to 6% over the same period.

This Leger survey was completed on October 22, the same day the Angus Reid Institute published a poll based on fieldwork from October 15 to 19. The Angus Reid poll showed the Conservatives at 46% and the NDP at 43%, a 3-point gap. The two polls use different field dates and methods, which accounts for some of the difference.

The full results are on the Leger website at the link below.

Voting day is Saturday, October 24. If you have not yet voted, you can find your voting location at elections.bc.ca, or see the polls page at [/bc/provincial-2026/polls](/bc/provincial-2026/polls) for all published surveys from this campaign.

## Sitemap

See the full [sitemap](/bc/provincial-2026/sitemap.md) for all pages.