---
title: "Ipsos poll gives BC Conservatives a five-point lead over BC NDP"
description: "An Ipsos survey conducted October 7 to 11 found 43 per cent of decided voters backed the Conservatives, compared with 38 per cent for the NDP, with one in four voters saying they still might change their vote."
canonical_url: "https://voche.me/bc/provincial-2026/news/ipsos-poll-bc-conservatives-ndp-october-13-2026"
last_updated: "2026-10-17T18:42:34.102Z"
---

An Ipsos poll conducted October 7 to 11 for Global BC gave the BC Conservatives a five-point lead over the BC NDP among decided voters, with a sizeable share of the electorate still open to changing its mind before the October 24 vote.

The poll found the [BC Conservatives](/bc/provincial-2026/parties/conservative-party-of-bc) had the support of 43 per cent of decided voters, compared with 38 per cent for the [BC NDP](/bc/provincial-2026/parties/bc-ndp) and 11 per cent for the [BC Greens](/bc/provincial-2026/parties/bc-green-party), led by [Emily Lowan](/bc/provincial-2026/candidates/emily-lowan). OneBC sat at 4 per cent and CentreBC at 2 per cent. Eighteen per cent of voters were still undecided.

## The methodological details

Ipsos surveyed 1,356 adult British Columbians between October 7 and 11, 2026, online through the Ipsos panel (1,001 respondents) and by phone with live interviewers, using both cellphones and landlines (350 respondents). Global News reported the overall poll is accurate to within 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

## Regional breakdown

The race was tighter in Metro Vancouver, where the BC Conservatives led by three points at 42 per cent to the BC NDP's 39 per cent, Global News reported. On Vancouver Island, the BC NDP held a larger lead at 47 per cent to the Conservatives' 27 per cent. In the Southern Interior and the northern part of the province, the BC Conservatives led by 21 points at 53 per cent to the BC NDP's 32 per cent.

## Leaders' favourability

[David Eby](/bc/provincial-2026/candidates/david-eby) led [Lorne Doerkson](/bc/provincial-2026/candidates/lorne-doerkson) on favourability, at 35 per cent to 26 per cent, Global News reported. However, Eby's unfavourable rating was 38 per cent compared with Doerkson's 24 per cent. Kyle Braid, senior vice president of Ipsos, told Global News that the lower unfavourable number for Doerkson reflects that many voters simply do not know him yet.

"The leadership question is an open one here," Braid told Global News. "People just know David Eby, and his numbers actually are not that bad. They're still open to hearing from David Eby. They just don't know Lorne Doerkson yet."

## Many voters still undecided

About one in four voters who already have a current party preference, 23 per cent, told Ipsos there is still a good chance they will vote for a different party. Braid estimated to Global News that 25 per cent of all voters remain up for grabs when both undecided and soft-leaning voters are counted.

Half of residents, 50 per cent, now say it is time for another provincial party to take over, up from the previous poll, Global News reported. Thirty-one per cent said the Eby government has done a good job and deserves re-election.

The BC provincial leaders' debate takes place tonight, October 14, at 6:15 p.m. Pacific. You can follow polling trends for all parties on the [BC provincial polls page](/bc/provincial-2026/polls).

## Sitemap

See the full [sitemap](/bc/provincial-2026/sitemap.md) for all pages.